UNLV surprised New Mexico, mounting an impressive comeback to win the game. New Mexico seemed to be in command, with a 86% chance to win toward the end of the game, but no lead proved large enough.
UNLV entered the game as the decided underdog, with a 14% chance to win before the game started. New Mexico led for most of the game, but UNLV seized the lead for good at the end of the game. The game featured many momentum swings, with a total of 8 probabilistic lead changes