Utah State surprised Boise State, mounting an impressive comeback to win the game. Boise State seemed to be in command, with a 85% chance to win during the middle stretches of the game, but no lead proved large enough.
Utah State entered the game as the underdog, with a 43% chance to win before the game started. Boise State led for most of the game, but Utah State seized the lead for good at the end of the game. The game featured many momentum swings, with a total of 9 probabilistic lead changes