Boise State shocked San Diego State, mounting a stunning comeback to win the game. San Diego State seemed to be in command, with a 92% chance to win toward the end of the game, but no lead proved large enough.
Boise State entered the game as the favorite, with a 58% chance to win before the game started. San Diego State took their first lead toward the beginning of the game, leading up to the exciting finish. The game featured many momentum swings, with a total of 12 probabilistic lead changes