Saint Mary's surprised Gonzaga, mounting an impressive comeback to win the game. Gonzaga seemed to be in command, with a 86% chance to win toward the end of the game, but no lead proved large enough.
Saint Mary's entered the game as the favorite, with a 59% chance to win before the game started. Gonzaga led for most of the game, but Saint Mary's seized the lead for good toward the end of the game. The game featured many momentum swings, with a total of 8 probabilistic lead changes