North Carolina surprised Duke, mounting an impressive comeback to win the game. Duke seemed to be in command, with a 86% chance to win during the middle stretches of the game, but no lead proved large enough.
North Carolina entered the game as the underdog, with a 34% chance to win before the game started. Duke led for most of the game, but North Carolina seized the lead for good toward the end of the game. The game featured many momentum swings, with a total of 9 probabilistic lead changes