Toledo shocked Pittsburgh, mounting a stunning comeback to win the game. Pittsburgh seemed to be in command, with a 97.4% chance to win toward the end of the game, but no lead proved large enough.
Toledo entered the game as the underdog, with a 30% chance to win before the game started. Pittsburgh led for most of the game, but Toledo seized the lead for good at the very end of the game. The game featured many momentum swings, with a total of 9 probabilistic lead changes